Feb. 17, 2016
Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Iran have existential interests in the Syrian conflict to be sure but the great powers on which they depend do not. This isn’t 1914 when Austro-Hungary believed that it had to humiliate Serbia in order to contain Russian encroachment in the Balkans and Germany believed it had to stand by its Austrian ally or face eventual isolation by England France and Russia. Syria’s Muslim neighbors are in one stage or another of decline and that is the source of their rancor. And that is why their sponsors in Washington and Moscow don’t want to be dragged into their quarrels.
Iran Turkey and Saudi Arabia will not survive in their present form for another generation.